System dynamics to analyze scenarios of electric cars insertion in Brazilian cities

Autores

  • Glauco Oliveira Rodrigues Universidade Federal de Santa Maria
  • André Munzlinger Instituto Federal de Educação Ciência e Tecnologia Catarinense
  • Rafael Pereira Ocampo More UFSC
  • Nanachara Carolina Sperb Instituto Federal Catarinense (IFC)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20397/2177-6652/2024.v24i4.2628

Palavras-chave:

Electric cars,System dynamics, Sustainability

Resumo

Objective: This paper aims to present and analyze the use of system dynamics to analyze the impact of electric cars on Brazilian cities.

Methodology: A simulation model was developed with the purpose of being used to predict population growth in any Brazilian region based on the logic of stocks and flows. The model was created to specify an environmental impact analysis system, considering CO2 emissions from different types of vehicles and fuel sources. The financial model takes into account the cost of recharging electric vehicles during peak and off-peak periods.

Originality: The originality consists of assessing the importance of expanding the use of EVs in the country to promote sustainable development and reduce harmful emissions. The EV20 scenario predicts a cost reduction of around 118 trillion reais with the introduction of electric cars, reducing maintenance costs and saving citizens money.

Results: The study confirms that the introduction of electric cars will reduce the amount of CO2 released into the atmosphere. The research used computer modeling and variables such as the number of cars and their average CO2 emissions, allowing the model to be proposed for empirical studies in other cities.

Theoretical and methodological contributions: The model, as well as its applicability

method, although similar studies are found in the literature, notably abroad, contribute to the evolution of knowledge for the Brazilian reality, contributing to its implementation in a comprehensive manner.

Executive contributions: The model developed is open and can be expanded to any Brazilian city. Since the environmental impact of battery use was not measured and the possibility of using hybrid electric cars was not analyzed, it is proposed, in the executive applicability, to address these elements and increase the time horizon analyzed.

Biografia do Autor

Glauco Oliveira Rodrigues, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria

Graduação em Redes de Computadores

Aluno de Mestrado no Programa de Pós Graduação em Administração

André Munzlinger, Instituto Federal de Educação Ciência e Tecnologia Catarinense

Possui graduação em Comunicação Social - Jornalismo pela Universidade do Sul de Santa Catarina e também é pós-graduado em Produção em Comunicação pela Unoesc. Doutor em Administração pela Univali e mestre em Administração pela FURB. Atua como jornalista no Instituto Federal de Educação Ciência e Tecnologia Catarinense. Como professor, desenvolve atividades no Serviço Nacional de Aprendizagem Comercial - Senac e também na Universidade para o Desenvolvimento do Alto Vale do Itajaí - Unidavi. Realiza pesquisas sobre novas tecnologias de comunicação, disseminação do conhecimento científico através da mídia no Núcleo de Estudos em Comunicação, Cultura e Disseminação de Conhecimento. Participa do grupo de pesquisa Estratégia e Inovação.

Rafael Pereira Ocampo More, UFSC

Pesquisador da UFSC. Bacharel e Mestre em Administração pela UFSC (2008 e 2012) e Doutor em Administração do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Administração da Universidade do Vale do Itajaí (UNIVALI) 2016, com bolsa CAPES. Doutorado sanduíche (2013-2014) na Universidade Politécnica de Valência - UPV, Valência/Espanha (bolsa Capes). Realiza pesquisas em temas de Governança, Gestão da Educação, Inovação em Habitats de Inovação. Professor Permanente do Programa de Pós-graduação em Administração Universitária - PPGAU. Coordenador Geral da Universidade Aberta do Brasil na UFSC 2019-2023. Atual Coordenador Adjunto da UAB. Coordenador Geral da incubadora NOVUS/UFSC. Coordenador Administrativo e Financeiro do InPETU Hub, localizado no Sapiens Parque, em Florianópolis, SC.

Nanachara Carolina Sperb, Instituto Federal Catarinense (IFC)

Doutora em Comunicação e Linguagens, graduada em Comunicação Social - Jornalismo. Jornalista do Instituto Federal Catarinense (IFC). Tem experiência na área de Comunicação, atuando principalmente nos seguintes temas: mídias sociais, jornalismo digital, comunicação organizacional, marca e influência digital

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Publicado

2024-10-17

Como Citar

Rodrigues, G. O., Munzlinger, A., More, R. P. O., & Sperb, N. C. (2024). System dynamics to analyze scenarios of electric cars insertion in Brazilian cities. Revista Gestão & Tecnologia, 24(4), 7–38. https://doi.org/10.20397/2177-6652/2024.v24i4.2628

Edição

v. 24 n. 4 (2024)

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ARTIGO

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