Resilience of regional economic systems: from methodology to practice
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.20397/2177-6652/2024.v24i4.2974Palavras-chave:
resilience, performance , data decomposition, research methodology,, systemic transformationsResumo
Abstract
Foreign economic turbulence, increased risks of macroeconomic instability, different resilience potential of regions and industries to crisis manifestations, etc. stipulate the need to offer appropriate concepts and models of regional strategic development with due regard to the adjusting institutional environment and mechanisms that shape the dynamics and characteristics of modern economic growth. This study develops concepts and tools for empirically assessing the resilience of regional economic systems. The Volga Federal District (Russia) constituent entities are the research object. The basis of the original concept is a 3D model that assumes the need to study resilience in the context of three key components. The first characterizes the readiness of the research object for systemic transformations. The other two components (export dependence and import dependence), combined into an aggregated indicator, form the potential for assessing the vulnerability of regions during the transformation of foreign economic relations. The result is the assessment of the resilience of regional economic systems, which lays the basis for developing solutions in regional policy in the context of systemic transformations expressed in sanctions against the Russian economy.
Referências
Alekseev, E. V., Bogdan, V. V., Zakharova, A. N., & Dudynov, S. (2022). Regulation of environmental safety in the context of geopolitical changes. Revista Relações Internacionais do Mundo Atual, 1(34). Retrieved from http://revista.unicuritiba.edu.br/index.php/RIMA/article/view/5899
Bagratuni, K., Kashina, E., Kletskova, E., Kapustina, D., Ivashkin, M., Sinyukov, V., Karshalova, A., Hajiyev, H., & Hajiyev, E. (2023). Impact of socially responsible business behavior on implementing the principles of sustainable development (experience of large business). International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 18(8), 2481-2488. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.180819
Borodina, M., Idrisov, H., Kapustina, D., Zhildikbayeva, A., Fedorov, A., Denisova, D., Gerasimova, E., & Solovyanenko, N. (2023). State regulation of digital technologies for sustainable development and territorial planning. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 18(5), 1615-1624. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.180533
EMISS. Raskhody konsolidirovannogo byudzheta subekta RF i territorialnogo gosudarstvennogo vnebyudzhetnogo fonda, ispolneno. Retrieved from https://www.fedstat.ru/indicator/58441 (Accessed February 5, 2024).
Eskerkhanova, L. T., Beloglazova, L. B., Masyutina, N. M., Romanishina, T. S., & Turishcheva, T. B. (2023). Increasing the competitiveness of future economists for work in industry 4.0. Perspektivy nauki i obrazovania, 62(2), 158-173. doi: 10.32744/pse.2023.2.9
Fingleton, B., Garretsen, H., & Martin, R. (2012). Recessionary Shocks and Regional Employment: Evidence on the Resilience of U.K. Regions. Journal of Regional Science, 52(1), 109-133. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9787.2011.00755.x
Foster, K. A. (2007). A Case Study Approach to Understanding Regional Resilience. Institute of Urban and Regional Development, University of California, Berkeley, Working Paper 2007-08. Retrieved from https://www.econstor.eu/obitstream/10419/59413/1/592535347.pdf (Accessed December 12, 2023).
Friedman, J. (1973). Urbanization, Planning and national Development. Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage Publications, Inc.
Gafurov, I. R., Safiullin, M. R., Elshin, L. A., et al. (2015). Effektivnost sotsialno-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya regionov Privolzhskogo federalnogo okruga: ustoichivost i tendentsii razvitiya [Efficiency of socio-economic development of the regions of the Volga Federal District: sustainability and development trends]. Kazan: Obshchestvo s ogranichennoi otvetstvennostyu “Artifakt”.
Hill, E. W., Wial, H., & Wolman, H. (2008). Exploring Regional Economic Resilience. Institute of Urban and Regional Development, Berkeley, Working Paper 2008-04. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.5099.4000
Hoover, E. M., & Giarratani, F. (2020). An Introduction to Regional Economics. (Reprint, Eds. Scott Loveridge and Randall Jackson). WVU Research Repository.
Isard, W. (1956). Location and Space-Economy. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Kashina, E., Yanovskaya, G., Fedotkina, E., Tesalovsky, A., Vetrova, E., Shaimerdenova, A., Aitkazina, M. (2022). Impact of digital farming on sustainable development and planning in agriculture and increasing the competitiveness of the agricultural business. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 17(8), 2413-2420. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.170808
Kirillova, E., Otcheskiy, I., Ivanova, S., Verkhovod, A., Stepanova, D., Karlibaeva, R., & Sekerin, V. (2023). Developing Methods for Assessing the Introduction of Smart Technologies into the Socio-Economic Sphere Within the Framework of Open Innovation. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 18(3), 693-702. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.180305
Klimanov, V. V., Kazakova, S. M., & Mikhailova, A. A. (2019). Retrospektivnyi analiz ustoichivosti regionov Rossii kak sotsialno-ekonomicheskikh sistem [Retrospective analysis of the sustainability of Russian regions as socio-economic systems]. Voprosy ekonomiki, 5, 46-64.
Kochetkov, E., Zhilkina, T., Zudilova, E., Philippov, D., & Popova, L. (2023, January-March). Modeling the Macroeconomic Transmission Environment: Public Sector Impact Using the Money and Financial Market Model. Relacoes Internacionais no Mundo Atual, 1(39), e06270. http://revista.unicuritiba.edu.br/index.php/RIMA/article/view/6270
Krugman, P. R. (1991). Increasing Returns and Economic Geography. The Journal of Political Economy, 99(3), 483-499.
Kuznetsova, O. V. (2023). Novye zakonomernosti v sovremennoi dinamike sotsialno-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya regionov Rossii [New patterns in the modern dynamics of socio-economic development of Russian regions]. Regionalnye issledovaniya, 1, 19-30. https://doi.org/10.5922/1994-5280-2023-1-2
Lagravinese, R. (2015). Economic Crisis and Rising Gaps North-South: Evidence from the Italian Regions. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 8(2), 331-342. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsv006
Malkina, M. Yu. (2022). Ustoichivost ekonomik rossiiskikh regionov k pandemii 2020 [Resilience of the economies of Russian regions to the 2020 pandemic]. Prostranstvennaya ekonomika, 18(1), 101-124. https://doi.org/10.14530/se.2022.1.101-124
Martin, R. (2012). Regional Economic Resilience, Hysteresis and Recessionary Shocks. Journal of Economic Geography, 1(1), 1-32. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbr019
Pilipenko, Z. A. (2010). Shoki i mekhanizmy ikh rasprostraneniya v ekonomicheskikh sistemakh [Shocks and their propagation mechanisms in economic systems]. Voprosy ekonomiki i prava, 11, 76-81.
Regiony Rossii. Sotsialno-ekonomicheskie pokazateli, 2023. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/Region_Pokaz_2023.pdf (Accessed April 17, 2024).
Richardson, H. W. (1969). Regional Economics. Location Theory. Urban Structure. Regional Change. London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson.
Safiullin, M. R., Elshin, L. A., & Shakirova, A. I. (2013). Pozitsionirovanie regionov na osnove svodnogo indeksa sotsialno-ekonomicheskoi privlekatelnosti i vyyavlenie strategicheskikh tochek dalneishego rosta [Positioning of regions based on the composite index of socio-economic attractiveness and identification of strategic points for further growth]. Ekonomicheskii vestnik Respubliki Tatarstan, 2, 5-10.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. New York: Random House.
Tamozhennaya statistika Privolzhskogo tamozhennogo upravleniya. Retrieved from https://ptu.customs.gov.ru/folder/146699 (Accessed April 15, 2024).
Vysotskaya, N., Repina, M., Bogacheva, T., & Kryanev, V. (2022). The impact of the development of financial technologies on the legal regulation of the financial services sector. Revista Juridica, 2(69), 740-752. Retrieved from http://revista.unicuritiba.edu.br/index.php/RevJur/article/view/5687
Zhikharevich, B. S., Klimanov, V. V., & Maracha, V. G. (2020). Shokoustoichivost territorii: kontseptsiya, izmerenie, upravlenie [Territory resilience: concept, measurement, management]. Regionalnye issledovaniya, 3(69), 4-15. https://doi.org/10.5922/1994-5280-2020-3-1.
Zubarevich, N. V., & Safronov, S. G. (2020). Regiony Rossii v ostroi faze koronavirusnogo krizisa: otlichiya ot predydushchikh ekonomicheskikh krizisov 2000-kh [Russian regions in the acute phase of the coronavirus crisis: differences from previous economic crises of the 2000s]. Regionalnye issledovaniya, 4, 4-17. https://doi.org/10.5922/1994-5280-2020-2-1.
Downloads
Publicado
Como Citar
Edição
Seção
Licença
Copyright (c) 2024 Revista Gestão & Tecnologia
Este trabalho está licenciado sob uma licença Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Os direitos, inclusive os de tradução, são reservados. É permitido citar parte de artigos sem autorização prévia desde que seja identificada a fonte. A reprodução total de artigos é proibida. Em caso de dúvidas, consulte o Editor.